Smurfit WestRock (MEX:SW1 N) Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


MEX:SW1 N Smurfit WestRock PLC MEX:SW1 N
47 GF Score
Price MXN680.00
GF Value MXN682.34
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Smurfit WestRock Beneish M-Score?

Smurfit WestRock MEX:SW1 N 47 Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:SW1 N with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN682.34 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 373 Packaging & Containers companies, Smurfit WestRock ranks better than 61.39% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.66 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Smurfit WestRock's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:SW1 N' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.68   Med: -2.55   Max: -0.39
Current: -2.66

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Smurfit WestRock was -0.39. The lowest was -2.68. And the median was -2.55.


Smurfit WestRock Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Smurfit WestRock's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Smurfit WestRock Beneish M-Score Chart

Smurfit WestRock Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.39 -2.57

Smurfit WestRock Quarterly Data
Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 -2.30 -2.57 -2.66

MEX:SW1 N vs PKG, AMCR, IP: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Smurfit WestRock's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Smurfit WestRock Beneish M-Score vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Smurfit WestRock's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Smurfit WestRock's Beneish M-Score falls into.


MEX:SW1 N
47GF Score
Smurfit WestRock PLC MEX:SW1 N
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Smurfit WestRock Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Smurfit WestRock for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8173+0.528 * 1.0651+0.404 * 1.0317+0.892 * 1.1012+0.115 * 0.724
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9416+4.679 * -0.05471-0.327 * 0.9994
=-2.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Mar25) TTM:
Total Receivables was MXN83,744 Mil.
Revenue was 139068.183 + 136483.206 + 146808.633 + 149503.848 = MXN571,864 Mil.
Gross Profit was 22865.464 + 24883.877 + 28782.05 + 28526.238 = MXN105,058 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN190,281 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN814,537 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN412,949 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN48,913 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN69,693 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN131,891 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN239,384 Mil.
Net Income was 1172.126 + 1746.553 + 4512.673 + -527.218 = MXN6,904 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -1027.864 + -1512.479 + -1706.011 + -5874.71 = MXN-10,121 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3678.671 + 21516.812 + 20783.979 + 15609.407 = MXN61,589 Mil.
Total Receivables was MXN93,044 Mil.
Revenue was 156627.979 + 157231.122 + 151044.291 + 54392.386 = MXN519,296 Mil.
Gross Profit was 32262.581 + 30073.919 + 26581.905 + 12695.831 = MXN101,614 Mil.
Total Current Assets was MXN217,471 Mil.
Total Assets was MXN913,438 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was MXN466,283 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was MXN38,719 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was MXN67,210 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was MXN152,311 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was MXN264,299 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(83743.859 / 571863.87) / (93043.894 / 519295.778)
=0.14644 / 0.179173
=0.8173

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(101614.236 / 519295.778) / (105057.629 / 571863.87)
=0.195677 / 0.183711
=1.0651

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (190281.051 + 412948.83) / 814537.06) / (1 - (217470.666 + 466283.295) / 913438.172)
=0.25942 / 0.25145
=1.0317

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=571863.87 / 519295.778
=1.1012

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(38719.414 / (38719.414 + 466283.295)) / (48912.782 / (48912.782 + 412948.83))
=0.076672 / 0.105904
=0.724

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(69692.654 / 571863.87) / (67209.682 / 519295.778)
=0.121869 / 0.129425
=0.9416

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((239384.093 + 131891.168) / 814537.06) / ((264299.486 + 152311.299) / 913438.172)
=0.455811 / 0.456091
=0.9994

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(6904.134 - -10121.064 - 61588.869) / 814537.06
=-0.05471

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Smurfit WestRock has a M-score of -2.79 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 mean?
Smurfit WestRock (MEX:SW1 N) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.66 as of Jun. 25, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Smurfit WestRock and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Smurfit WestRock ranks #144 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 38.6%.
Is Smurfit WestRock's Beneish M-Score too high?
Smurfit WestRock's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Based on the distribution chart, Smurfit WestRock ranks #144 out of 373 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Smurfit WestRock has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Smurfit WestRock's Beneish M-Score compare to PKG and AMCR?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Smurfit WestRock ranks #144 out of 373 companies for Beneish M-Score. This puts Smurfit WestRock in the upper half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Smurfit WestRock and its competitors. Smurfit WestRock's current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Smurfit WestRock stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Smurfit WestRock (MEX:SW1 N) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN682.34, compared to a current price of MXN680.00 — trading 0.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.66. Smurfit WestRock's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Smurfit WestRock (MEX:SW1 N), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.66 as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Smurfit WestRock (MEX:SW1 N) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Smurfit WestRock stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN680.00 is trading 0.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN682.34. GuruFocus considers Smurfit WestRock to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:SW1 N:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.66
  • GF Value™: MXN682.34 vs. price of MXN680.00 (0.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:SW1 N stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Smurfit WestRock Business Description

Address Beech Hill, Clonskeagh, Dublin 4, Dublin, IRL, D04 N2R2
Smurfit WestRock PLC manufactures corrugated packaging and consumer packaging, such as folding cartons and paperboard. operates a vertically integrated system supplying wood and recovered fiber to produce various grades of board, which are then converted into packaging products. Its main packaging categories include corrugated containers and consumer packaging, with additional products such as solidboard, kraft paper, graphic board, paper sacks, and bag-in-box packaging. The company's geographical segments include North America (including the U.S., Canada and Mexico), Europe, the Middle East and Africa and Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from product sales in the North American region.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:SW1 N

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN680.00
Price
MXN682.34
GF Value